The term BRIC countries was coined by Jim O'Neil (Lord O'Neill of Gatley) when he was at Goldman Sacs, he also identifies the next 11. His analysis was based on economic potential. Of course counties which are poor may convert large amounts of their money into arms and it is possible to engage in armed conflict with very few resources of your own, so long as you can obtain supplies from one of the power blocs or a helpful state, rogue or otherwise.

See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BRIC

For a discussion of rogue states start with https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogue_state,

and where wars are going on now https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ongoing_armed_conflicts

The detail that emerges from looking at any of this is massive. As in the rest of this ebook I am deliberately staying at a high level to see the overall pattern, what is happening systemically.

Part 2 - Assess - Timeline - Future - Political Challenges